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Ezekiel Elliott

Ezekiel Elliott Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots

 
 
 
Ezekiel Elliott Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 28.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 29.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the New England Patriots offense to be the 4th-quickest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 26.32 seconds per play.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Patriots are a big 8.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the New England Patriots to run on 39.0% of their opportunities: the 8th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
  • Ezekiel Elliott has been a much smaller part of his offense's rushing attack this year (35.2% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (50.9%).
  • Ezekiel Elliott has rushed for a lot fewer adjusted yards per game (31.0) this season than he did last season (61.0).
  • Ezekiel Elliott profiles as one of the weakest running backs in football at generating extra running yardage, averaging a lowly 2.37 yards-after-contact this year while checking in at the 22nd percentile.

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