Ezekiel Elliott Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Ezekiel Elliott

NFL · Player Props

Ezekiel Elliott

RB · New England Patriots

Rushing Yards

New England Patriots vs Kansas City Chiefs · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 17, 2023 5:51 PM UTC

Analysis

Ezekiel Elliott Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 59.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 60.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 59.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Patriots rank as the 6th-most run-focused offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) this year with a 41.7% run rate.
At only 26.68 seconds per snap, the New England Patriots offense rates as the 5th-quickest paced in the NFL (adjusted for context) this year.
In this contest, Ezekiel Elliott is anticipated by the predictive model to finish in the 100th percentile when it comes to RBs with 21.1 rush attempts.
While Ezekiel Elliott has garnered 40.7% of his offense's carries in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be much more involved in New England's run game in this week's contest at 78.6%.
The Kansas City Chiefs safeties grade out as the 26th-worst unit in the league this year in regard to run defense.

Favors Under

At a -3.5-point disadvantage, the Patriots are underdogs in this game, indicating more of a focus on moving the ball through the air than their normal game plan.
Ezekiel Elliott's 36.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this season marks a meaningful decrease in his running prowess over last season's 61.0 mark.
Ezekiel Elliott's ground effectiveness (3.53 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the worst in the NFL this year (18th percentile when it comes to RBs).

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