Ezekiel Elliott Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Ezekiel Elliott

NFL · Player Props

Ezekiel Elliott

RB · New England Patriots

Rushing Yards

New England Patriots vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 1, 2023

Updated Sep 10, 2023 7:36 PM UTC

Analysis

Ezekiel Elliott Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (+112/-148).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 133.2 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Ezekiel Elliott has grinded out 61.0 rushing yards per game since the start of last season, one of the highest figures in the NFL among running backs (84th percentile).

Favors Under

The Patriots are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's contest, indicating a passing game script.
The Patriots rank as the 9th-least run-centric team in the league (in a neutral context) since the start of last season with a 38.0% run rate.
The New England Patriots have called the 3rd-least plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a mere 53.9 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Ezekiel Elliott to be a less important option in his team's rushing attack this week (33.9% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (50.9% in games he has played).
Ezekiel Elliott's rushing effectiveness (3.96 yards per carry) has been some of the worst in the league since the start of last season (22nd percentile among RBs).

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