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Ezekiel Elliott

Ezekiel Elliott Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Dallas Cowboys vs Cincinnati Bengals

 
 
 
Ezekiel Elliott Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 51.5 (-104/-131).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 55.5 @ -119 before it was bet down to 51.5 @ -131.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Dallas Cowboys have run the 2nd-most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a whopping 66.4 plays per game.
  • THE BLITZ projects Ezekiel Elliott to garner 12.9 rush attempts in this game, on average, putting him in the 84th percentile among RBs.
  • Ezekiel Elliott has been given 59.0% of his team's carries since the start of last season, ranking in the 91st percentile among running backs.
  • The Dallas Cowboys offensive line ranks as the best in the league since the start of last season at run-game blocking.
  • Ezekiel Elliott has grinded out 56.0 yards per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the largest marks in the league among RBs (87th percentile).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Dallas Cowboys will be forced to use backup QB Cooper Rush in this week's contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
  • The Cowboys are a giant 7.5-point underdog in this game, indicating an extreme passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys as the 3rd-least run-centric team among all teams this week with a 37.0% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Cowboys to call the 2nd-least total plays among all teams this week with 61.5 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

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