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Ezekiel Elliott

Ezekiel Elliott Rushing TD
Player Prop Week 2

Dallas Cowboys vs Cincinnati Bengals

 
 
 
Ezekiel Elliott Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+225/-320).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Dallas Cowboys have run the 2nd-most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a whopping 66.4 plays per game.
  • Ezekiel Elliott has earned 56.2% of his offense's red zone rush attempts since the start of last season, ranking in the 90th percentile among RBs.
  • The Dallas Cowboys offensive line ranks as the best in the league since the start of last season at run-game blocking.
  • Ezekiel Elliott has rushed for 0.53 TDs per game on the ground since the start of last season (on average), one of the highest figures in the league among running backs (92nd percentile).
  • The Dallas Cowboys have been faced with a stacked the box on a mere 13.3% of their plays since the start of last season, 8th-least in the league. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Cowboys are a giant 7.5-point underdog in this game, indicating an extreme passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys to be the 10th-least run-oriented team in the NFL near the end zone (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 41.2% red zone run rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Cowboys to call the 2nd-least total plays among all teams this week with 61.5 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Opposing teams have rushed for the 10th-least TDs in football (0.83 per game) vs. the Cincinnati Bengals defense since the start of last season.
  • The Cincinnati Bengals defensive tackles project as the 9th-best unit in football since the start of last season when it comes to run defense.

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