Ezekiel Elliott Rushing TD - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Ezekiel Elliott

NFL · Player Props

Ezekiel Elliott

RB · Dallas Cowboys

Rushing TD

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 15, 2022

Updated Dec 19, 2022 12:11 AM UTC

Analysis

Ezekiel Elliott Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+135/-165).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Cowboys are a massive 17.5-point favorite in this game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 139.2 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Ezekiel Elliott has received 56.8% of his offense's red zone carries this year, placing him in the 90th percentile among RBs.
The Dallas Cowboys O-line ranks as the 7th-best in football this year in run blocking.
Ezekiel Elliott has rushed for 0.82 touchdowns per game on the ground this year (on average), one of the biggest figures in the league among running backs (95th percentile).

Favors Under

The Jacksonville Jaguars defensive tackles rank as the 9th-best DT corps in the league this year in regard to run defense.
The Jacksonville Jaguars have stacked the box vs. opponents on 22.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-most in football. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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