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Ezekiel Elliott

Ezekiel Elliott Receptions
Player Prop Week 8

Miami Dolphins vs New England Patriots

Ezekiel Elliott Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Patriots are a big 8.5-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.

The predictive model expects the New England Patriots as the 8th-most pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 61.0% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

Our trusted projections expect the New England Patriots offense to be the 4th-quickest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment, averaging 26.32 seconds per play.

Ezekiel Elliott's 89.6% Adjusted Completion% this year signifies a noteable gain in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 72.6% mark.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Ezekiel Elliott's 27.3% Route Participation Rate this year marks a substantial decrease in his passing offense utilization over last year's 44.1% mark.

When talking about pass protection (and the effect it has on all pass game stats), the O-line of the Patriots ranks as the 10th-worst in the league this year.

As it relates to safeties in defending receivers, Miami's collection of safeties has been very good this year, ranking as the best in football.

More Ezekiel Elliott Player Props

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