The model projects the New England Patriots as the 7th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 55.2% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.Windy weather conditions (like the 12-mph being forecasted in this game) typically mean worse passing effectiveness, reduced air volume, and higher ground volume.Ezekiel Elliott has been less involved as a potential pass-catcher this season (29.1% Route Participation Rate in games he has played) than he did last season (44.1%).The New England Patriots offensive line profiles as the 3rd-worst in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a negative effect on all air attack metrics across the board.This year, the stout Saints defense has conceded a measly 74.5% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing running backs: the 8th-lowest rate in the league.
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