Ezekiel Elliott Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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NFL · Player Props

Ezekiel Elliott

RB · Dallas Cowboys

Carries

Dallas Cowboys vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 3, 2024

Updated Sep 22, 2024 3:32 PM EST

Analysis

Ezekiel Elliott Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is projected by the predictive model to have 132.2 plays on offense run: the 2nd-highest number on the slate this week.
The Dallas Cowboys have called the 5th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a colossal 60.3 plays per game.

Favors Under

Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Dallas Cowboys to run on 37.1% of their downs: the 3rd-lowest clip among all teams this week.
The passing attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (read: no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline.
The Ravens defensive tackles project as the best collection of DTs in football since the start of last season in regard to stopping the run.