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Ezekiel Elliott

Ezekiel Elliott Carries
Player Prop Week 1

Dallas Cowboys vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

 
 
 
Ezekiel Elliott Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-150/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -150.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Cowboys to run the 3rd-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 64.8 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Dallas Cowboys have called the 2nd-most plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a colossal 66.6 plays per game.
  • THE BLITZ projects Ezekiel Elliott to accrue 12.1 rush attempts in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 83rd percentile among running backs.
  • Ezekiel Elliott has garnered 59.0% of his offense's carries since the start of last season, placing him in the 90th percentile among running backs.
  • The Dallas Cowboys O-line profiles as the 2nd-best in the league since the start of last season at blocking for the run game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Dallas Cowboys as the 5th-least run-centric offense among all teams this week with a 36.1% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers safeties profile as the 3rd-best unit in the league since the start of last season in regard to defending the run.

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