Evan Engram Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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NFL · Player Props

Evan Engram

TE · Denver Broncos

Touchdowns

Denver Broncos vs Jacksonville Jaguars · Week 2, 2026

Updated Sep 20, 2026 4:02 PM EST

Analysis

Evan Engram Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+374/-458).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -381 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -458.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Broncos to pass on 59.9% of their plays: the 8th-highest rate on the slate this week.
The leading projections forecast the Denver Broncos to be the 2nd-most pass-focused offense in football near the end zone (context-neutralized) right now with a 62.3% red zone pass rate.
Our trusted projections expect the Broncos to call the 5th-most total plays on the slate this week with 66.3 plays, based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
The 8th-highest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Denver Broncos since the start of last season (a monstrous 58.7 per game on average).
Opposing teams have averaged 36.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars defense since the start of last season: most in the NFL.

Favors Under

With a lackluster 70.4% Adjusted Completion Rate (19th percentile) since the start of last season, Evan Engram stands as one of the most hard-handed receivers in the NFL when it comes to tight ends.
Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 9th-lowest clip in football against the Jaguars defense since the start of last season (67.9% Adjusted Completion%).
The Jacksonville Jaguars linebackers grade out as the 3rd-best collection of LBs in the league since the start of last season in covering receivers.