Evan Engram Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 1

My Account Log Out

reorder

We’re hiring: Junior AI Product & Automation Engineer — Freelance → Learn More

Evan Engram

NFL · Player Props

Evan Engram

TE · Denver Broncos

Touchdowns

Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos · Week 1, 2026

Updated Sep 14, 2026 8:12 PM EST

Analysis

Evan Engram Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+571/-720).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The predictive model expects the Broncos to be the 4th-most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 60.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The model projects the Denver Broncos to be the 5th-most pass-centric offense in football near the goal line (adjusted for context) right now with a 61.1% red zone pass rate.
The projections expect this game to see the 2nd-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 130.8 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The 5th-largest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Denver Broncos last year (a staggering 59.7 per game on average).
When it comes to pass protection (and the strong effect it has on all passing offense stats), the offensive line of the Broncos profiles as the 4th-best in football last year.

Favors Under

Windy weather conditions (like the 13-mph being forecasted in this game) usually correlate with decreased passing effectiveness, lower air volume, and higher ground volume.
Evan Engram rates as one of the worst possession receivers in the NFL among TEs, completing just 69.0% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) last year, checking in at the 9th percentile.
Evan Engram ranks in the 20th percentile among TEs as it relates to catching TDs last year, averaging a lowly 0.05 per game.
The Chiefs defense has conceded the 2nd-fewest receiving TDs in the league to TEs: 0.24 per game last year.

More Evan Engram Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow