Evan Engram Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Evan Engram

NFL · Player Props

Evan Engram

TE · Denver Broncos

Receptions

Denver Broncos vs Los Angeles Rams · Week 3, 2026

Updated Sep 27, 2026 8:22 PM EST

Analysis

Evan Engram Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-106/+100).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Broncos to pass on 61.8% of their opportunities: the 3rd-greatest rate among all teams this week.
The model projects this game to see the 3rd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 130.1 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The 9th-most plays in the league have been run by the Denver Broncos since the start of last season (a colossal 58.4 per game on average).
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 34.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Rams defense since the start of last season: 6th-most in the league.
In this week's game, Evan Engram is projected by the projection model to land in the 77th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 4.6 targets.

Favors Under

The Rams pass defense has surrendered the 5th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (69%) vs. tight ends since the start of last season (69.0%).
As it relates to safeties in defending receivers, Los Angeles's collection of safeties has been exceptional since the start of last season, ranking as the 2nd-best in the NFL.

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