Evan Engram Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Evan Engram

NFL · Player Props

Evan Engram

TE · Jacksonville Jaguars

Receptions

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Houston Texans · Week 3, 2023

Updated Sep 24, 2023 4:01 PM UTC

Analysis

Evan Engram Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+125/-162).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -139 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -162.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Jacksonville Jaguars to be the 9th-most pass-oriented offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now with a 63.0% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-most plays run among all games this week at 133.0 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Evan Engram has run a route on 80.6% of his offense's passing plays since the start of last season, ranking in the 92nd percentile among tight ends.
THE BLITZ projects Evan Engram to accumulate 6.9 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 96th percentile among tight ends.
The Jacksonville Jaguars O-line profiles as the 10th-best in football since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all air attack stats across the board.

Favors Under

The Jaguars are a giant 7.5-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
Opposing teams have averaged 30.5 pass attempts per game against the Houston Texans defense since the start of last season: 5th-least in the NFL.
The Houston Texans pass defense has allowed the 8th-lowest Completion% in football (69.6%) vs. TEs since the start of last season (69.6%).

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