Evan Engram Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Evan Engram

NFL · Player Props

Evan Engram

TE · Jacksonville Jaguars

Receptions

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 18, 2023 4:01 AM EST

Analysis

Evan Engram Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-152/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -152.

Key Factors

Favors Over

A passing game script is indicated by the Jaguars being a -4-point underdog in this week's game.
The leading projections forecast the Jaguars as the 10th-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 60.4% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
In terms of a defense's effect on tempo, at 27.49 seconds per snap, our trusted projections expect the Jaguars as the 6th-quickest in the league (context-neutralized) right now.
Opposing offenses have averaged 39.6 pass attempts per game vs. the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 2nd-most in football.
The predictive model expects Evan Engram to garner 8.4 targets in this week's game, on average, placing him in the 97th percentile when it comes to tight ends.

Favors Under

The weather report calls for 21-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
The Baltimore Ravens pass defense has yielded the 10th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (70.9%) vs. TEs this year (70.9%).
The Ravens safeties profile as the best collection of safeties in the NFL this year in defending pass-catchers.

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