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Evan Engram

Evan Engram Receptions
Player Prop Week 13

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Cincinnati Bengals

 
 
 
Evan Engram Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-180/+140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -175 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -180.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The 8th-highest number of plays in football have been called by the Jacksonville Jaguars this year (a monstrous 60.3 per game on average).
  • The projections expect Evan Engram to garner 6.7 targets in this game, on balance, ranking him in the 95th percentile among TEs.
  • Evan Engram's 42.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that quantifies high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit higher this season than it was last season at 36.6.
  • Evan Engram's receiving talent has been refined this year, notching 5.8 adjusted receptions compared to a measly 4.3 last year.
  • Evan Engram's sure-handedness have gotten a boost this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate increasing from 74.6% to 80.2%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • An extreme rushing game script is indicated by the Jaguars being a massive 10.5-point favorite in this game.
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Jaguars to pass on 53.8% of their plays: the lowest rate on the slate this week.
  • The projections expect this game to see the smallest number of plays run among all games this week at 124.1 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

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