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Evan Engram

Evan Engram Receptions
Player Prop Week 10

Jacksonville Jaguars vs San Francisco 49ers

Evan Engram Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-113/-113).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ +116 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -113.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This week's line implies a passing game script for the Jaguars, who are -3-point underdogs.

Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Jaguars to pass on 60.4% of their plays: the 5th-greatest clip on the slate this week.

The 9th-largest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Jaguars this year (a whopping 60.5 per game on average).

The San Francisco 49ers defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, enticing opposing offenses to attempt the 5th-most passes in the league (39.5 per game) this year.

The model projects Evan Engram to notch 8.3 targets this week, on balance, putting him in the 100th percentile among tight ends.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is projected by the predictive model to see just 125.6 offensive plays run: the 5th-lowest number among all games this week.

The 49ers pass defense has given up the 2nd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (64.1%) vs. TEs this year (64.1%).

As it relates to linebackers in covering receivers, San Francisco's collection of LBs has been great this year, grading out as the 2nd-best in the NFL.

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