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Evan Engram

Evan Engram Receptions
Player Prop Week 2

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Indianapolis Colts

Evan Engram Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+150/-180).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Jacksonville Jaguars boast a new play-caller this season in head coach Doug Pederson, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 3.6% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context).

The Jaguars are a 3-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to a passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Jacksonville Jaguars as the 7th-most pass-centric team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 64.0% pass rate.

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 130.0 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Evan Engram has run a route on 78.6% of his team's passing plays since the start of last season, ranking him in the 92nd percentile among TEs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Jacksonville Jaguars have called the 4th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a lowly 59.9 plays per game.

The Jacksonville Jaguars have gone up against a stacked the box on a mere 11.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-least in the NFL. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

The Indianapolis Colts have stacked the box vs. opponents on just 13.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 8th-least in the league. Choosing not to position an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.

The Jacksonville Jaguars have used motion in their offense on 33.0% of their plays since the start of last season (9th-least in football), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.

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