Evan Engram Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Evan Engram

NFL · Player Props

Evan Engram

TE · Denver Broncos

Receiving Yards

Denver Broncos vs Kansas City Chiefs · Week 8, 2026

Updated Oct 30, 2026 5:07 PM EST

Analysis

Evan Engram Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-109/-109).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -123 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ -109.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The predictive model expects this game to have the 5th-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 129.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Evan Engram has garnered a staggering 10.5% of his offense's air yards this year: 80th percentile when it comes to tight ends.
Evan Engram's 7.2 adjusted yards per target this season marks a noteable progression in his receiving talent over last season's 6.0 mark.
Evan Engram's ability to generate extra yardage has gotten better this year, notching 3.69 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to just 0.00 mark last year.
The Kansas City Chiefs defense has allowed the 6th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (69.0) vs. tight ends this year.

Favors Under

The Broncos have been the 9th-least pass-centric offense in the league (in a neutral context) this year with a 58.7% pass rate.
The 5th-smallest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Broncos this year (a measly 53.3 per game on average).
Evan Engram's 54.4% snap rate this year represents a significant gain in his offensive usage over last year's 38.9% figure.
The Denver Broncos offensive line grades out as the 5th-worst in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative effect on all air attack statistics across the board.
The Chiefs pass defense has performed very well when opposing tight ends have gotten into space, yielding an average of 3.52 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 10th-fewest in football.

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