Evan Engram Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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NFL · Player Props

Evan Engram

TE · Denver Broncos

Receiving Yards

San Francisco 49ers vs Denver Broncos · Week 4, 2026

Updated Oct 2, 2026 3:07 PM EST

Analysis

Evan Engram Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-107/-107).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ -107.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The model projects the Denver Broncos to be the 5th-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 60.8% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
As far as a defense's effect on pace, at 27.85 seconds per snap, the predictive model expects the Broncos to be the 6th-quickest in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment.
The 49ers defense has been something of pass funnel since the start of last season, causing opposing teams to attempt the 8th-most passes in football (34.1 per game) since the start of last season.
While Evan Engram has been responsible for 7.4% of his offense's targets in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be a more important option in Denver's passing offense in this game at 12.5%.
Evan Engram has received a monstrous 8.0% of his team's air yards this year: 75th percentile when it comes to TEs.

Favors Under

Since the start of last season, the imposing 49ers defense has allowed a paltry 73.2% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing TEs: the 8th-smallest rate in the league.
Since the start of last season, the stout San Francisco 49ers defense has conceded the 6th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing TEs: a feeble 7.1 yards.
The 49ers linebackers rank as the 4th-best LB corps in the league since the start of last season in defending pass-catchers.