Evan Engram Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

reorder

We’re hiring: Junior AI Product & Automation Engineer — Freelance → Learn More

NFL · Player Props

Evan Engram

TE · Denver Broncos

Receiving Yards

Denver Broncos vs Los Angeles Rams · Week 3, 2026

Updated Sep 27, 2026 8:07 PM EST

Analysis

Evan Engram Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (+123/-148).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 69.5 @ 0 before it was bet down to 24.5 @ -148.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Broncos to pass on 61.8% of their opportunities: the 3rd-greatest rate among all teams this week.
The model projects this game to see the 3rd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 130.1 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The 9th-most plays in the league have been run by the Denver Broncos since the start of last season (a colossal 58.4 per game on average).
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 34.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Rams defense since the start of last season: 6th-most in the league.
In this week's game, Evan Engram is projected by the projection model to land in the 77th percentile when it comes to tight ends with 4.6 targets.

Favors Under

Since the start of last season, the tough Rams defense has surrendered a paltry 36.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing TEs: the 3rd-best in football.
Since the start of last season, the imposing Rams defense has surrendered the 2nd-least adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing tight ends: a mere 5.8 yards.
As it relates to safeties in defending receivers, Los Angeles's collection of safeties has been exceptional since the start of last season, ranking as the 2nd-best in the NFL.