Evan Engram Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Evan Engram

NFL · Player Props

Evan Engram

TE · Jacksonville Jaguars

Receiving Yards

Cleveland Browns vs Jacksonville Jaguars · Week 14, 2023

Updated Dec 10, 2023 6:01 PM UTC

Analysis

Evan Engram Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 45.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 44.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 45.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The model projects the Jaguars to be the 9th-most pass-oriented team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 63.4% pass rate.
Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Jacksonville Jaguars are anticipated by our trusted projection set to run 65.7 offensive plays in this contest: the 8th-highest number among all teams this week.
The Jaguars have run the 7th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a measly 55.2 plays per game.
The leading projections forecast Evan Engram to earn 7.4 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 98th percentile when it comes to tight ends.
Evan Engram has put up a staggering 33.0 air yards per game this year: 86th percentile among TEs.

Favors Under

Opposing teams teams have been wary to rely on the passing game too much against the Browns, averaging the fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 28.2 per game) this year.
This year, the daunting Browns defense has yielded a paltry 22.0 adjusted receiving yards per game to opposing TEs: the fewest in the league.
This year, the formidable Cleveland Browns defense has allowed the 3rd-least adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing tight ends: a puny 6.4 yards.
As it relates to defensive ends rushing the passer, Cleveland's collection of DEs has been fantastic this year, ranking as the best in football.

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