Evan Engram Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Evan Engram

NFL · Player Props

Evan Engram

TE · Jacksonville Jaguars

Receiving Yards

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Tennessee Titans · Week 11, 2023

Updated Nov 20, 2023 12:16 AM UTC

Analysis

Evan Engram Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 45.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 45.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 45.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The predictive model expects the Jaguars to be the 8th-most pass-centric team in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now with a 63.2% pass rate.
With respect to a defense's influence on pace, at 27.36 seconds per snap, the leading projections forecast the Jacksonville Jaguars to be the 5th-fastest in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment.
The predictive model expects Evan Engram to accrue 7.2 targets in this week's contest, on balance, ranking him in the 95th percentile among TEs.
Evan Engram's 22.6% Target% this season illustrates an impressive boost in his pass attack volume over last season's 17.6% figure.
With a fantastic 49.0 adjusted yards per game through the air (92nd percentile) this year, Evan Engram places as one of the best TEs in the pass game in the league.

Favors Under

The Jaguars are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a running game script.
Opposing teams have averaged 33.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Tennessee Titans defense this year: 10th-fewest in the league.
Evan Engram has accrued quite a few less air yards this season (27.0 per game) than he did last season (35.0 per game).
The Tennessee Titans defense has yielded the 6th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 38.0) vs. TEs this year.

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