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Evan Engram
NFL · Player Props
Evan Engram
TE · Jacksonville Jaguars
Receiving Yards
Kansas City Chiefs vs Jacksonville Jaguars · Week 20, 2022 Updated Jan 21, 2023 9:21 PM UTC
NFL Props Evan Engram Receiving Yards

Evan Engram Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 46.5 (-155/+125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 46.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 46.5 @ -155.

Favors Over
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars will have a new play-caller this year in head coach Doug Pederson, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 2.8% more towards passing than it did last year (adjusted for context).
  • The Jaguars are a giant 8.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
  • The Jaguars rank as the 9th-most pass-heavy offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) this year with a 62.1% pass rate.
  • The weather report calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • THE BLITZ projects Evan Engram to notch 8.0 targets in this week's game, on average, putting him in the 96th percentile among tight ends.
Favors Under
  • THE BLITZ projects the Jaguars to call the 3rd-least plays on offense on the slate this week with 67.8 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have gone up against a stacked the box on a mere 11.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-least in the league. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars have used motion in their offense on 33.0% of their play-calls since the start of last season (8th-least in football), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.
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