Eric Saubert Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1457/-2043).
Key Factors
Favors Over
The Seattle Seahawks may rely on the pass game less this week (and call more carries) as a result of being be forced to utilize backup QB Drew Lock.
The Arizona Cardinals defense has allowed the 9th-most receiving TDs in the league to tight ends: 0.62 per game this year.
The Cardinals linebackers project as the 3rd-worst unit in the league this year in defending receivers.
Favors Under
This game's spread suggests an extreme rushing game script for the Seahawks, who are heavily favored by 8.5 points.
Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Seahawks to pass on 50.4% of their plays: the 2nd-lowest rate among all teams this week.
The predictive model expects the Seattle Seahawks to be the 6th-most run-centric team in the league near the end zone (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 47.3% red zone run rate.
The leading projections forecast this game to see the 5th-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 129.5 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing teams teams have been hesitant to rely on the passing game too much against the Arizona Cardinals, averaging the 2nd-fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 30.2 per game) this year.