Eric Saubert Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1100/-25000).
Key Factors
Favors Over
Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is anticipated by our trusted projection set to see 131.7 plays on offense run: the 3rd-highest number among all games this week.
Still weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being projected in this game) generally correlate with better passing efficiency, increased TD potential, increased pass volume, and lower rush volume.
The Chicago Bears pass defense has given up the 7th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (80.4%) versus TEs this year (80.4%).
Favors Under
A rushing game script is suggested by the Seahawks being a 3-point favorite in this week's contest.
The predictive model expects the Seahawks as the 9th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 55.7% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
At the moment, the 6th-most run-centric team in the league in the red zone (47.0% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Seahawks.
Opposing QBs teams have been disinclined to rely on the passing game too much against the Chicago Bears, totaling the fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 29.7 per game) this year.
As it relates to air yards, Eric Saubert ranks in just the 8th percentile among tight ends this year, totaling just 0.0 per game.