Eric Saubert Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1983/-2339).
Key Factors
Favors Over
Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being forecasted in this game) generally cause increased passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher pass volume, and reduced run volume.
The Seattle Seahawks offensive line grades out as the 9th-best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive effect on all passing offense metrics across the board.
The Broncos defense has allowed the 8th-most touchdowns through the air in football to tight ends: 0.60 per game this year.
Favors Under
Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Seattle Seahawks to pass on 55.9% of their opportunities: the 8th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
The model projects the Seahawks to be the 6th-most run-centric offense in football near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 47.0% red zone run rate.
At a whopping 30.55 seconds per play, the Seahawks offense ranks as the 4th-slowest paced in football (context-neutralized) this year.
When talking about air yards, Eric Saubert grades out in the lowly 9th percentile among tight ends this year, with just -1.0 per game.
Eric Saubert rates in just the 23rd percentile among TE WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive volume) with a feeble 2.8 mark this year.