Eric Saubert Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1900/-2074).
Key Factors
Favors Over
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.5 pass attempts per game against the 49ers defense this year: 6th-most in the league.
When it comes to pass protection (and the strong effect it has on all passing attack statistics), the offensive line of the Seahawks grades out as the 10th-best in the NFL this year.
The opposing side have rushed for the 6th-fewest TDs in football (0.50 per game) against the 49ers defense this year.
As it relates to the linebackers' role in defending against the run, San Francisco's collection of LBs has been outstanding this year, projecting as the 2nd-best in football.
Favors Under
This game's spread implies a rushing game script for the Seahawks, who are favored by 3 points.
Our trusted projections expect the Seahawks to be the 8th-most run-oriented offense in the NFL near the end zone (adjusted for context) right now with a 46.6% red zone run rate.
Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Seahawks are predicted by the projection model to call just 62.8 plays on offense in this contest: the 7th-lowest number on the slate this week.
The 10th-smallest volume of plays in football have been called by the Seattle Seahawks this year (a measly 54.0 per game on average).
While Eric Saubert has been responsible for 9.5% of his team's red zone targets in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be much less involved in Seattle's pass game near the goal line in this week's contest at 4.2%.