My Account Log Out

reorder

Eric Saubert

Eric Saubert Receptions
Player Prop Week 5

Denver Broncos vs Indianapolis Colts

Eric Saubert Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+120/-165).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +130 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Denver Broncos boast a new play-caller this season in head coach Nathaniel Hackett, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to skew 3.2% more towards passing than it did last season (context-neutralized).

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

Eric Saubert's 13.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit higher this year than it was last year at 4.0.

The Denver Broncos O-line grades out as the 10th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong effect on all passing attack stats across the board.

The Indianapolis Colts linebackers grade out as the 3rd-worst collection of LBs in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Broncos are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Broncos to run the 9th-least plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.7 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 33.5 pass attempts per game against the Indianapolis Colts defense this year: 8th-least in the league.

Eric Saubert has been among the worst pass-catching tight ends this year, averaging a measly 0.5 receptions per game while grading out in the 4th percentile among tight ends.

Eric Saubert's possession skills have worsened this season, with his Completion% falling off from 71.5% to 33.4%.

More Eric Saubert Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™