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Equanimeous St. Brown

Equanimeous St. Brown Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 1

Chicago Bears vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Equanimeous St. Brown Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+385/-798).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 31.1 pass attempts per game against the San Francisco 49ers defense since the start of last season: 5th-least in football.
  • The San Francisco 49ers pass defense has allowed the 5th-highest Completion% in the NFL (68.4%) vs. wide receivers since the start of last season (68.4%).
  • The Chicago Bears O-line has allowed their QB 2.51 seconds before getting pressured (10th-best in the league since the start of last season), which has a positive impact on all passing attack stats across the board.
  • The Chicago Bears have gone for it on 4th down 27.3% of the time since the start of last season (3rd-most in the league), which generally means more offensive volume, more touchdown potential, and higher offensive metrics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Bears to call the 2nd-least total plays on the slate this week with 58.7 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Equanimeous St. Brown has posted a meager 12.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: just 19th percentile among wideouts.
  • Equanimeous St. Brown's 9.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) grades out among the worst in football: 16th percentile for WRs.
  • Equanimeous St. Brown ranks in the 1st percentile among wideouts when it comes to catching touchdowns since the start of last season, averaging a mere 0.00 per game.
  • The San Francisco 49ers linebackers project as the 3rd-best unit in football since the start of last season in covering receivers.

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