Emanuel Wilson Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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NFL · Player Props

Emanuel Wilson

RB · Seattle Seahawks

Touchdowns

Washington Commanders vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 3, 2026

Updated Sep 27, 2026 8:32 PM EST

Analysis

Emanuel Wilson Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+233/-239).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ 0 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -239.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Since the start of last season, the feeble Commanders defense has conceded a staggering 0.21 touchdowns through the air per game to opposing running backs: the 9th-largest rate in football.
As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in run defense, Washington's unit has been very good since the start of last season, grading out as the 4th-best in the NFL.

Favors Under

With a 6.5-point advantage, the Seahawks are favored in this game, indicating more of an emphasis on running than their standard approach.
The leading projections forecast the Seahawks to be the 2nd-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 51.0% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
The predictive model expects the Seahawks to be the 4th-most run-focused team in the NFL near the goal line (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 47.7% red zone run rate.
The predictive model expects this game to see the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 121.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Seahawks have run the 5th-fewest plays in football since the start of last season, averaging just 54.3 plays per game.