Elijah Moore Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Elijah Moore

NFL · Player Props

Elijah Moore

WR · Philadelphia Eagles

Touchdowns

Philadelphia Eagles vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 7, 2026

Updated Oct 26, 2026 7:32 PM EST

Analysis

Elijah Moore Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1242/-1683).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Eagles may take to the air less in this game (and hand the ball off more) because they be rolling with backup QB Tanner McKee.
This week's spread suggests a passing game script for the Eagles, who are -4-point underdogs.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is projected by the model to see 136.1 total plays called: the 2nd-highest number on the slate this week.
The passing games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm weather conditions (3-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while ground volume may suffer.
While Elijah Moore has garnered 0.0% of his offense's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be much more involved in Philadelphia's passing offense near the end zone in this week's contest at 6.4%.

Favors Under

The leading projections forecast the Philadelphia Eagles as the least pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 59.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
Right now, the most run-heavy offense in the NFL in the red zone (53.6% adjusted for context) according to the predictive model is the Philadelphia Eagles.
The smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Philadelphia Eagles this year (just 55.0 per game on average).
Opposing offenses have averaged 31.5 pass attempts per game against the Cowboys defense this year: fewest in the league.
Elijah Moore has put up significantly fewer air yards this season (0.0 per game) than he did last season (16.0 per game).

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