Elijah Moore Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Elijah Moore

NFL · Player Props

Elijah Moore

WR · Philadelphia Eagles

Touchdowns

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 5, 2026

Updated Oct 11, 2026 8:27 PM EST

Analysis

Elijah Moore Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+2464/-2930).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Eagles are a 6-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.
This year, the formidable Jacksonville Jaguars run defense has conceded a meager 0.50 rushing touchdowns per game to opposing teams: the 6th-lowest rate in football.

Favors Under

At the moment, the most run-centric offense in football in the red zone (52.5% in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Eagles.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projection model to see just 125.8 total plays called: the 4th-fewest out of all the games this week.
The Eagles have run the 7th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging just 53.5 plays per game.
Elijah Moore has been been lightly used his team's pass game near the end zone, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of just 0.0% since the start of last season, which places him in the 1st percentile among WRs.
When it comes to air yards, Elijah Moore grades out in the measly 23rd percentile among wide receivers since the start of last season, averaging just 13.0 per game.

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