Elijah Moore Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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NFL · Player Props

Elijah Moore

WR · Philadelphia Eagles

Touchdowns

Philadelphia Eagles vs Los Angeles Rams · Week 4, 2026

Updated Oct 4, 2026 7:42 PM EST

Analysis

Elijah Moore Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+1776/-2579).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Eagles are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, indicating a passing game script.
Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Philadelphia Eagles are forecasted by the predictive model to call 65.2 plays on offense in this contest: the 7th-highest number on the slate this week.
Opposing teams have averaged 34.5 pass attempts per game against the Los Angeles Rams defense since the start of last season: 6th-most in the league.
In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the positive impact it has on all air attack statistics), the offensive line of the Philadelphia Eagles ranks as the 3rd-best in the league since the start of last season.
Opposing offenses have run for the fewest touchdowns in football (0.45 per game) versus the Los Angeles Rams defense since the start of last season.

Favors Under

The model projects the Philadelphia Eagles to be the 9th-least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 56.0% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
At the present time, the most run-oriented offense in football near the goal line (51.7% context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Philadelphia Eagles.
The Eagles have called the 6th-fewest plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a measly 54.6 plays per game.
Elijah Moore, who has earned 2.2% of his team's rush attempts near the end zone since the start of last season (95th percentile), is fortunate to be in the unique position (for a wideout) of being involved in the Philadelphia Eagles red zone run game.
With a poor 0.0% Red Zone Target Share (1st percentile) since the start of last season, Elijah Moore has been as one of the wideouts with the most usage near the goal line in the league.