Elijah Moore Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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NFL · Player Props

Elijah Moore

WR · Philadelphia Eagles

Touchdowns

Chicago Bears vs Philadelphia Eagles · Week 3, 2026

Updated Sep 28, 2026 8:17 PM EST

Analysis

Elijah Moore Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+3000/-4900).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The leading projections forecast this game to see the 5th-most plays run among all games this week at 129.0 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Eagles have played in the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in football since the start of last season, which ought to mean increased pass volume, reduced running volume, and improved passing offense performance when facing more favorable weather this week.
The Eagles offensive line profiles as the 2nd-best in the league since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a positive influence on all pass game statistics across the board.
Opposing QBs have completed passes at the highest rate in the NFL versus the Chicago Bears defense since the start of last season (74.0% Adjusted Completion%).
The Chicago Bears defense has given up the most receiving touchdowns in the league to wide receivers: 1.21 per game since the start of last season.

Favors Under

The Eagles are a 3.5-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a running game script.
Our trusted projections expect the Eagles to be the least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 51.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
Our trusted projections expect the Philadelphia Eagles to be the most run-heavy offense in the league near the goal line (adjusted for context) right now with a 52.3% red zone run rate.
Elijah Moore, who has earned 2.5% of his team's carries near the end zone last year (96th percentile), is fortunate to be in the unique position (for a wideout) of being involved in the Eagles red zone running game.
Elijah Moore has been has not been looked to very often his team's pass game near the goal line, garnering a Red Zone Target Share of just 0.0% last year, which ranks in the 0th percentile when it comes to WRs.