Elijah Moore Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Elijah Moore

NFL · Player Props

Elijah Moore

WR · Philadelphia Eagles

Receptions

Philadelphia Eagles vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 7, 2026

Updated Oct 26, 2026 7:52 PM EST

Analysis

Elijah Moore Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Eagles may take to the air less in this game (and hand the ball off more) because they be rolling with backup QB Tanner McKee.
This week's spread suggests a passing game script for the Eagles, who are -4-point underdogs.
Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is projected by the model to see 136.1 total plays called: the 2nd-highest number on the slate this week.
The passing games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm weather conditions (3-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while ground volume may suffer.
Our trusted projections expect Elijah Moore to be a more integral piece of his team's pass attack in this game (8.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (0.8% in games he has played).

Favors Under

The leading projections forecast the Philadelphia Eagles as the least pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 59.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
The smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Philadelphia Eagles this year (just 55.0 per game on average).
Opposing offenses have averaged 31.5 pass attempts per game against the Cowboys defense this year: fewest in the league.
As it relates to pocket protection (and the ramifications it has on all passing attack metrics), the offensive line of the Eagles profiles as the worst in the league this year.
With a mere 0.9 adjusted catches per game (9th percentile) since the start of last season, Elijah Moore stands among the bottom WRs in the league in the NFL.

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