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Elijah Moore

Elijah Moore Receptions
Player Prop Week 2

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cleveland Browns

 
 
 
Elijah Moore Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+100/-132).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +118 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Cleveland Browns have called the 5th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a colossal 61.3 plays per game.
  • The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • THE BLITZ projects Elijah Moore to be much more involved in his offense's air attack this week (18.0% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (11.8% in games he has played).
  • The Cleveland Browns O-line ranks as the 4th-best in the league since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a positive effect on all passing game metrics across the board.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns to be the least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 53.4% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Browns to run the least plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.1 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers defense since the start of last season: 4th-least in football.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers pass defense has conceded the lowest Completion% in football (60.5%) versus WRs since the start of last season (60.5%).
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers defensive tackles profile as the 5th-best collection of DTs in the NFL since the start of last season in regard to pass rush.

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