Elijah Moore Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Elijah Moore

NFL · Player Props

Elijah Moore

WR · Cleveland Browns

Receptions

Cleveland Browns vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 1, 2023

Updated Sep 10, 2023 8:31 PM EST

Analysis

Elijah Moore Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-185/+145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +135 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -185.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Cleveland Browns have called the 6th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a colossal 60.9 plays per game.
THE BLITZ projects Elijah Moore to be a much bigger part of his team's pass game this week (16.2% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (11.2% in games he has played).
The Cleveland Browns O-line grades out as the 4th-best in the league since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a strong impact on all passing offense statistics across the board.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns as the 8th-least pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 55.4% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Browns to call the 3rd-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 61.8 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Cincinnati Bengals linebackers grade out as the 2nd-best LB corps in football since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

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