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Elijah Moore

Elijah Moore Receptions
Player Prop Week 5

New York Jets vs Miami Dolphins

Elijah Moore Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+115/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -145.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Jets are a 3.5-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.

The New York Jets have called the 5th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a colossal 69.5 plays per game.

Opposing QBs have averaged 40.0 pass attempts per game against the Miami Dolphins defense this year: 8th-most in football.

Elijah Moore has been less involved as a potential target this year (91.7% Route% in games he has played) than he did last year (65.9%).

Elijah Moore's receiving reliability have been refined this season, with his Completion% jumping from 58.2% to 64.4%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Jets to run the 11th-least plays on offense among all teams this week with 64.2 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The New York Jets O-line ranks as the 3rd-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a negative impact on all pass attack statistics across the board.

The Miami Dolphins pass defense has allowed the 5th-lowest Completion% in football (60.3%) versus wide receivers this year (60.3%).

The Miami Dolphins defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks just 2.36 seconds after the snap (on average), grading out as the 3rd-quickest in the NFL since the start of last season.

The New York Jets have faced a stacked the box on a measly 13.6% of their plays since the start of last season, 9th-least in football. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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