Elijah Moore Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Elijah Moore

NFL · Player Props

Elijah Moore

WR · New York Jets

Receptions

Cleveland Browns vs New York Jets · Week 2, 2022

Updated Sep 18, 2022 7:30 PM UTC

Analysis

Elijah Moore Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+116/-154).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -137 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -154.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Jets are a 6-point underdog this week, indicating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the New York Jets to be the 2nd-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 62.7% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Elijah Moore to total 7.5 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 86th percentile among wideouts.
Elijah Moore's 47.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) grades out among the best in the league: 76th percentile for WRs.
Elijah Moore has been among the best pass-catching wide receivers since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 4.0 receptions per game while ranking in the 78th percentile.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Jets to call the 7th-least plays on offense on the slate this week with 60.7 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The New York Jets have run the 10th-least plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a mere 61.4 plays per game.
The New York Jets offensive line ranks as the 10th-worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful impact on all pass attack metrics across the board.
The Cleveland Browns pass defense has yielded the 9th-lowest Completion% in football (64.6%) to wideouts since the start of last season (64.6%).
The Cleveland Browns linebackers grade out as the best group of LBs in the NFL since the start of last season in covering receivers.

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