Elijah Moore Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+110/-150).
Key Factors
Favors Over
The Jets are a 6.5-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.
The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects Elijah Moore to earn 7.6 targets in this week's contest, on average, putting him in the 87th percentile among WRs.
Elijah Moore's 48.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) puts him in the company of the best in the NFL: 78th percentile for WRs.
Elijah Moore has been among the leading pass-catching WRs since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 3.9 receptions per game while checking in at the 76th percentile.
Favors Under
THE BLITZ projects the Jets to run the 8th-least plays on offense among all teams this week with 60.6 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The New York Jets have called the 5th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a measly 60.4 plays per game.
Elijah Moore has been among the least sure-handed receivers in the league, completing a measly 58.2% of balls thrown his way since the start of last season, checking in at the 15th percentile among wide receivers
The Baltimore Ravens pass defense has surrendered the 8th-lowest Completion% in the league (63.5%) versus wideouts since the start of last season (63.5%).
The Baltimore Ravens pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing QBs just 2.39 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 5th-best in the league since the start of last season.