Elijah Moore Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Elijah Moore

NFL · Player Props

Elijah Moore

WR · Cleveland Browns

Receiving Yards

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cleveland Browns · Week 2, 2023

Updated Sep 19, 2023 12:11 AM UTC

Analysis

Elijah Moore Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 38.5 (-135/-101).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 36.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 38.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Cleveland Browns have called the 5th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a colossal 61.3 plays per game.
The weather report calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Elijah Moore to be much more involved in his offense's air attack this week (18.0% projected Target Share) than he has been since the start of last season (11.8% in games he has played).
The Cleveland Browns O-line ranks as the 4th-best in the league since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a positive effect on all passing game metrics across the board.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Cleveland Browns to be the least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 53.4% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Browns to run the least plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.1 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers defense since the start of last season: 4th-least in football.
Elijah Moore has been among the weakest WRs in football at generating extra yardage, averaging a lowly 2.42 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while grading out in the 18th percentile.
The Pittsburgh Steelers pass defense has conceded the lowest Completion% in football (60.5%) versus WRs since the start of last season (60.5%).

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