Elijah Moore Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Elijah Moore

NFL · Player Props

Elijah Moore

WR · Cleveland Browns

Receiving Yards

Los Angeles Rams vs Cleveland Browns · Week 13, 2023

Updated Dec 3, 2023 9:26 PM UTC

Analysis

Elijah Moore Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 35.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 35.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 35.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game's line indicates a passing game script for the Browns, who are -3.5-point underdogs.
The predictive model expects the Cleveland Browns to call the 4th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 66.8 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Cleveland Browns have called the most plays in football this year, averaging a monstrous 66.5 plays per game.
Elijah Moore's 86.9% Route Participation% this year represents a material improvement in his pass game volume over last year's 75.6% rate.
In this week's contest, Elijah Moore is predicted by the projections to land in the 82nd percentile when it comes to wideouts with 7.3 targets.

Favors Under

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Browns to pass on 56.5% of their chances: the 9th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
Elijah Moore's 6.5 adjusted yards per target this year represents a meaningful reduction in his receiving prowess over last year's 7.8 mark.
This year, the tough Rams defense has yielded a mere 56.3% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing wideouts: the 2nd-best rate in football.
This year, the daunting Rams defense has given up the 3rd-least adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing WRs: a puny 7.2 yards.

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