Elijah Moore Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Elijah Moore

NFL · Player Props

Elijah Moore

WR · New York Jets

Receiving Yards

Green Bay Packers vs New York Jets · Week 6, 2022

Updated Oct 16, 2022 11:51 PM UTC

Analysis

Elijah Moore Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 37.5 (+115/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 37.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 37.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Jets are an enormous 7.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the New York Jets as the 6th-most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 62.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The New York Jets have run the 4th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 65.0 plays per game.
Elijah Moore has been used less as a potential pass-catcher this season (90.6% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (65.9%).
Elijah Moore's possession skills have improved this year, with his Completion% increasing from 58.2% to 61.4%.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Jets to run the 2nd-least plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.1 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 29.2 pass attempts per game against the Green Bay Packers defense this year: least in the NFL.
Elijah Moore has compiled significantly fewer air yards this season (78.0 per game) than he did last season (83.0 per game).
The New York Jets offensive line profiles as the 9th-worst in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all passing game statistics across the board.
Elijah Moore's talent in picking up extra yardage have declined this year, compiling a measly 2.06 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 4.81 figure last year.

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