Elijah Moore Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 4

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Elijah Moore

NFL · Player Props

Elijah Moore

WR · New York Jets

Receiving Yards

Pittsburgh Steelers vs New York Jets · Week 4, 2022

Updated Oct 2, 2022 11:20 PM UTC

Analysis

Elijah Moore Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 42.5 (-159/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 37.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 42.5 @ -159.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Jets are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.
The Jets rank as the 8th-most pass-centric team in the league (context-neutralized) this year with a 67.9% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 138.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Elijah Moore has been used less as a potential pass-catcher this year (92.0% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (65.9%).
THE BLITZ projects Elijah Moore to notch 6.6 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 76th percentile among WRs.

Favors Under

Opposing QBs have averaged 33.0 pass attempts per game versus the Pittsburgh Steelers defense since the start of last season: 10th-least in the NFL.
The New York Jets offensive line profiles as the 9th-worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all air attack metrics across the board.
Elijah Moore's talent in picking up extra yardage have diminished this year, notching just 1.33 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 4.81 rate last year.
The Pittsburgh Steelers pass defense has excelled when opposing WRs have gotten into space, conceding an average of 5.50 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 9th-least in football.
The Pittsburgh Steelers linebackers grade out as the 6th-best group of LBs in the NFL since the start of last season in regard to rushing the passer.

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