Elijah Moore Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Elijah Moore

NFL · Player Props

Elijah Moore

WR · New York Jets

Receiving Yards

Buffalo Bills vs New York Jets · Week 14, 2022

Updated Dec 11, 2022 5:36 PM UTC

Analysis

Elijah Moore Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (+110/-140).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Jets are a 3-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the New York Jets offense to be the 6th-quickest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment, averaging 26.49 seconds per snap.
The Buffalo Bills defense has yielded the 9th-most receiving yards per game in the NFL (164.0) versus wideouts this year.
The New York Jets O-line has afforded their quarterback 2.69 seconds before the pass (5th-best in the league since the start of last season), which has a positive effect on all pass game metrics across the board.
The Buffalo Bills have stacked the box vs. opponents on 19.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 9th-most in football. Bringing an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

Favors Under

The weather forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
Elijah Moore has been a much smaller part of his team's pass attack this year (11.0% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (18.5%).
Elijah Moore has compiled far fewer air yards this year (48.0 per game) than he did last year (83.0 per game).
Elijah Moore has accumulated substantially fewer receiving yards per game (33.0) this year than he did last year (49.0).
Elijah Moore has been among the most unreliable receivers in the NFL, hauling in a measly 59.2% of passes thrown his way this year, checking in at the 13th percentile among wideouts

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