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Elijah Moore

Elijah Moore Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 6

Green Bay Packers vs New York Jets

Elijah Moore Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+330/-617).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -604 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -617.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Jets are an enormous 7.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.

The New York Jets have run the 4th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 65.0 plays per game.

THE BLITZ projects Elijah Moore to be a more important option in his team's air attack near the end zone this week (16.0% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (10.7% in games he has played).

Elijah Moore's possession skills have improved this year, with his Completion% increasing from 58.2% to 61.4%.

The Green Bay Packers pass defense has allowed the highest Completion% in football (80.6%) versus wide receivers this year (80.6%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Jets to run the 2nd-least plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.1 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 29.2 pass attempts per game against the Green Bay Packers defense this year: least in the NFL.

Elijah Moore has compiled significantly fewer air yards this season (78.0 per game) than he did last season (83.0 per game).

Elijah Moore's 39.3 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit worse this season than it was last season at 48.5.

The New York Jets offensive line profiles as the 9th-worst in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all passing game statistics across the board.

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