Elijah Mitchell Touchdowns - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Elijah Mitchell

NFL · Player Props

Elijah Mitchell

RB · Philadelphia Eagles

Touchdowns

Philadelphia Eagles vs New York Giants · Week 9, 2026

Updated Nov 8, 2026 1:02 PM EST

Analysis

Elijah Mitchell Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+488/-525).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Philadelphia Eagles may rely on the pass game less in this game (and call more rushes) because they be starting backup quarterback Joe Milton.
The Eagles are a 3-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script.
The projections expect this game to have the 3rd-most plays run on the slate this week at 131.0 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
This year, the deficient Giants pass defense has been torched for a monstrous 90.0% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing RBs: the 4th-worst rate in football.
This year, the deficient New York Giants defense has conceded a colossal 0.43 receiving touchdowns per game to opposing RBs: the 2nd-largest rate in football.

Favors Under

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Eagles to pass on 55.3% of their opportunities: the 9th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
The predictive model expects the Eagles to be the most run-heavy offense in the NFL near the end zone (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 54.2% red zone run rate.
Opposing QBs teams have been hesitant to test the pass defense of the New York Giants, totaling the 10th-fewest attempts in the NFL (just 33.6 per game) this year.

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