Elijah Mitchell Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Elijah Mitchell

NFL · Player Props

Elijah Mitchell

RB · San Francisco 49ers

Rushing Yards

Los Angeles Rams vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 2, 2023

Updated Sep 17, 2023 11:31 PM UTC

Analysis

Elijah Mitchell Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The 49ers are a big 7.5-point favorite this week, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers as the 8th-most run-centric team among all teams this week with a 46.0% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The San Francisco 49ers O-line grades out as the 7th-best in the NFL since the start of last season at blocking for rushers.
Elijah Mitchell's rushing efficiency (5.74 yards per carry) has been some of the best in the league since the start of last season (93rd percentile among RBs).
Elijah Mitchell has been among the top RBs in the league at grinding out extra ground yardage, averaging a terrific 3.14 yards-after-contact since the start of last season while checking in at the 81st percentile.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the smallest volume of plays run among all games this week at 121.6 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The San Francisco 49ers have played in the most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in the league since the start of last season, which ought to mean increased pass volume, reduced running volume, and improved offense results when facing better conditions in this week's contest.
The forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

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