Eli Mitchell Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Eli Mitchell

NFL · Player Props

Eli Mitchell

RB · San Francisco 49ers

Receptions

Chicago Bears vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 1, 2022

Updated Sep 11, 2022 7:38 PM EST

Analysis

Eli Mitchell Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+150/-180).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Elijah Mitchell has run a route on 44.5% of his team's passing plays since the start of last season, placing him in the 87th percentile among RBs.
The San Francisco 49ers offensive line ranks as the 7th-best in the league since the start of last season in protecting the QB, which has a strong effect on all passing offense stats across the board.
Elijah Mitchell has been among the most sure-handed receivers in the NFL among running backs, completing an impressive 96.2% of balls thrown his way since the start of last season, checking in at the 83rd percentile.
The Chicago Bears defensive ends rank as the 6th-worst unit in football since the start of last season with their pass rush.
The Chicago Bears pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing QBs 2.51 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 10th-slowest in football since the start of last season.

Favors Under

The 49ers are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers as the least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 46.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the 49ers to call the 4th-least total plays among all teams this week with 60.4 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The San Francisco 49ers have called the 6th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a measly 60.5 plays per game.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 27.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Chicago Bears defense since the start of last season: least in the NFL.

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